29 11 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
1080 307 Strength Momentum |
1048 42.5(47) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/19/15 | at Onate ? | 0.001 | 985 | L 1- 5 | Worse (-5) | 847 | 57% | |
08/25/15 | Gadsden | 0.003 | 872 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 910 | 77% | |
08/28/15 | at Alamogordo | 0.005 | 1003 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 856 | 55% | |
08/28/15 | at Onate ?? | 0.003 | 985 | L 0- 6 | Worse (-7) | 744 | 57% | |
08/29/15 | at Gadsden | 0.007 | 872 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1042 | 70% | |
09/09/15 | at Silver | 0.039 | 895 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1053 | 68% | |
09/10/15 | Artesia | 0.030 | 1014 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-5) | 830 | 62% | |
09/12/15 | Deming | 0.060 | 915 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1082 | 72% | |
09/15/15 | Alamogordo | 0.068 | 1003 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-4) | 875 | 63% | |
09/16/15 | at Deming ! | 0.089 | 915 | W 5- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1114 | 65% | |
09/22/15 | Belen | 0.198 | 1170 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 1109 | 43% | |
09/26/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.257 | 1217 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-1) | 1014 | 31% | |
09/29/15 | Chaparral !! | 0.243 | 1082 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1317 | 54% | |
10/03/15 | at Valencia | 0.386 | 1206 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 958 | 33% | |
10/06/15 | at Centennial | 0.599 | 1292 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1152 | 24% | |
10/10/15 | at Belen | 1170 | F -1- 1 | Forfeit -1 | --- | 36% | ||
10/13/15 | Los Lunas | 0.309 | 1217 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-5) | 828 | 38% | |
10/17/15 | at Chaparral | 0.923 | 1082 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1047 | 46% | |
10/20/15 | Valencia | 0.967 | 1206 | T 0- 0 | Better (+1) | 1127 | 40% | |
10/24/15 | Centennial | 0.857 | 1292 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1070 | 31% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Teresa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1048, while
Santa Teresa's "weighted playing strength" is 1070
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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