2015 Season results for Santa Teresa (GV,3-5A)

29   11   5
Rank in
State, Class, District
1080     307
Strength     Momentum
1048   42.5(47)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  5W   13L   2T 
District  1W   7L   2T 
Expected  11:   2+   6- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/19/15 at Onate ? 0.001985L 1- 5 Worse (-5) 847 57%
08/25/15 Gadsden 0.003872L 1- 2 Worse (-3) 910 77%
08/28/15 at Alamogordo 0.0051003L 0- 4 Worse (-4) 856 55%
08/28/15 at Onate ?? 0.003985L 0- 6 Worse (-7) 744 57%
08/29/15 at Gadsden 0.007872W 2- 1 Expected (-1)1042 70%
09/09/15 at Silver 0.039895W 2- 1 Expected (-1)1053 68%
09/10/15 Artesia 0.0301014L 0- 4 Worse (-5) 830 62%
09/12/15 Deming 0.060915W 3- 1 Expected (0)1082 72%
09/15/15 Alamogordo 0.0681003L 0- 3 Worse (-4) 875 63%
09/16/15 at Deming ! 0.089915W 5- 3 Expected (+1)1114 65%
09/22/15 Belen 0.1981170T 2- 2 Better (+1)1109 43%
09/26/15 at Los Lunas 0.2571217L 2- 5 Expected (-1)1014 31%
09/29/15 Chaparral !! 0.2431082W 5- 0 Expected (+5)1317 54%
10/03/15 at Valencia 0.3861206L 0- 4 Expected (-2) 958 33%
10/06/15 at Centennial 0.5991292L 2- 3 Expected (+1)1152 24%
10/10/15 at Belen  1170 F -1- 1Forfeit -1--- 36%
10/13/15 Los Lunas 0.3091217L 0- 6 Expected (-5) 828 38%
10/17/15 at Chaparral 0.9231082L 0- 1 Expected (-1)1047 46%
10/20/15 Valencia 0.9671206T 0- 0 Better (+1)1127 40%
10/24/15 Centennial 0.8571292L 0- 2 Expected (0)1070 31%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Teresa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1048, while
Santa Teresa's "weighted playing strength" is 1070
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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